Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.679247 0.779287 0.888209 1.015508 1.160108 1.319155 1.507262
2024-12-29 0.529431 0.664391 0.824049 1.026442 1.275758 1.572405 1.951730
2025-01-05 0.408321 0.556981 0.746887 1.006305 1.350407 1.790031 2.393074
2025-01-12 0.329488 0.485742 0.700076 1.013728 1.458894 2.065612 2.952348
2025-01-19 0.260047 0.412574 0.636299 0.985478 1.513249 2.276807 3.459747
2025-01-26 0.223069 0.378588 0.621116 1.022486 1.664650 2.644930 4.244918
2025-02-02 0.196489 0.355075 0.616844 1.074129 1.844954 3.080725 5.195616
2025-02-09 0.167748 0.321923 0.590594 1.084680 1.959664 3.428580 6.056630
2025-02-16 0.142845 0.290303 0.560852 1.083164 2.052096 3.750496 6.917712
2025-02-23 0.123041 0.264052 0.535703 1.084735 2.148609 4.090216 7.853498
2025-03-02 0.106228 0.240191 0.510579 1.081422 2.234214 4.419786 8.812649
2025-03-09 0.094674 0.224846 0.499318 1.102888 2.369534 4.857270 10.028189
2025-03-16 0.081870 0.204497 0.474887 1.094712 2.447263 5.200361 11.120047
2025-03-23 0.073457 0.192468 0.466212 1.118763 2.595832 5.704472 12.603019
2025-03-30 0.063662 0.175042 0.442346 1.105013 2.660799 6.045659 13.796079
2025-04-06 0.056954 0.163925 0.431165 1.118601 2.788873 6.537524 15.375485
2025-04-13 0.049003 0.147770 0.404788 1.091128 2.817485 6.815045 16.520310
2025-04-20 0.045531 0.143169 0.406710 1.134373 3.021951 7.515779 18.712796
2025-04-27 0.043033 0.140833 0.414150 1.193111 3.273533 8.357794 21.339324
2025-05-04 0.038957 0.132872 0.404915 1.205933 3.410162 8.943047 23.426616
2025-05-11 0.034893 0.124011 0.391519 1.205026 3.510670 9.452612 25.392680
2025-05-18 0.031426 0.116270 0.379934 1.207280 3.620081 9.998338 27.517404
2025-05-25 0.028214 0.108620 0.367188 1.203952 3.713571 10.514926 29.631569